← Wallets
−$1,001No · avg 84¢ → 82¢ · $37.3k+$838Yes · avg 89¢ → 91.5¢ · $37.1k+$409No · avg 96.1¢ → 97.4¢ · $30.5k−$493No · avg 87¢ → 86¢ · $27.4k−$606No · avg 82¢ → 80¢ · $27.0k−$161No · avg 92.2¢ → 91.5¢ · $20.7k+$1,564No · avg 81¢ → 96.7¢ · $9,763−$10No · avg 97¢ → 96.9¢ · $9,690
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did -21.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-21.0 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
1.6
Flagged volume
$239.7k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$33.9k
Last 30 days +$4,275 · $6.45M volume · 17,848 trades · since Oct 27, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$35.6k
Open P&L · 42 positions
+$3,137
Closed-position win rate
67%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
362d
502 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | -30.0 pts |
| Other | 2 | 1 | 1.3 | -16.5 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc682d7…