← Wallets
+$11.9kYes · avg 28¢ → 97.7¢ · $16.8k+$11.2kNo · avg 23¢ → 97.5¢ · $14.7k−$150Yes · avg 93¢ → 91.5¢ · $9,150+$450Yes · avg 63¢ → 68¢ · $6,750 · 1 proven with, 0 against+$1,003Yes · avg 36¢ → 97.5¢ · $1,581+$321Yes · avg 38¢ → 62¢ · $819+$241No · avg 53¢ → 91.5¢ · $572−$193Yes · avg 17¢ → 10¢ · $304
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did -40.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-40.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.8
Flagged volume
$27.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±20.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$81.0k
Last 30 days +$30.7k · $1.88M volume · 4,532 trades · since Sep 19, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$86.7k
Open P&L · 84 positions
−$4,900
Closed-position win rate
89%
246 closed
Wallet age · markets
400d
302 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 1 | 1.8 | -40.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 85¢ | $12.8k | missed |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $14.4k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x2110ba…