WhaleGrader Log inSign up
← Wallets

0x40e1…973f

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?−$867Yes · avg 21¢ → 2.8¢ · $133
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$1.45M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$149.0k
Last 30 days −$176 · $2.00M volume · 41 trades · since Sep 13, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$57.1k
Open P&L · 9 positions
−$204.9k
Closed-position win rate
86%
7 closed
Wallet age · markets
406d
16 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY No @ 51¢ $50.0k51% 237d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?MED BUY No @ 32¢ $50.0k32% 237d agomissed
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 81¢ $100.0k81% 238d agomissed
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?HIGH SELL No @ 75¢ $100.3k25% 246d agocalled
US government shutdown Saturday?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $83.6k0% 262d agoexcluded
US government shutdown Saturday?LOW BUY Yes @ 95.6¢ $80.0k96% 266d agoexcluded
US government shutdown Saturday?MED SELL Yes @ 75¢ $79.8k25% 268d agomissed
US government shutdown Saturday?LOW BUY Yes @ 75¢ $80.0k75% 269d agocalled
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?LOW SELL No @ 98¢ $83.1k2% 269d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $45.0k95% 276d agocalled
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 75¢ $100.0k75% 276d agomissed
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?HIGH SELL No @ 67¢ $148.8k33% 278d agocalled
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 71¢ $50.0k71% 281d agomissed
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?MED BUY No @ 66¢ $100.0k66% 281d agomissed
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?MED BUY No @ 82¢ $200.0k
2.5× usual
82% 284d agocalled
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?LOW BUY No @ 83¢ $40.0k83% 287d agocalled
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?MED SELL No @ 83¢ $29.6k17% 287d agomissed
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?LOW BUY No @ 84¢ $30.0k84% 287d agocalled

Share this record

WhaleGrader badge
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x40e1d00d3a43af1c4f215bd7a1039cc792ad973f"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x40e1d00d3a43af1c4f215bd7a1039cc792ad973f.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>

JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x40e1d0…