← Wallets
+$14.8kNo · avg 54¢ → 86¢ · $39.3k+$994No · avg 79¢ → 86¢ · $11.0k−$40No · avg 92¢ → 91.5¢ · $7,000+$1,498No · avg 67¢ → 90¢ · $5,854+$28No · avg 92¢ → 92.5¢ · $5,088−$518Yes · avg 59¢ → 53¢ · $4,736−$220Yes · avg 78¢ → 74¢ · $4,470+$821No · avg 54¢ → 72¢ · $3,205
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -18.1 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-18.1 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$26.8k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±25.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$97.6k
Last 30 days −$8,812 · $9.43M volume · 28,375 trades · since Dec 10, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$392.7k
Open P&L · 149 positions
−$116.5k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
683d
991 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 0 | 0.4 | -18.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 70¢ | $15.3k | missed |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | LOW SELL No @ 94¢ | $11.5k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9ca119…