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What this means. A wallet put $19.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.9k
SELL No @ 97.9¢ · 20,312 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Crypterius took No (sell) for $19.9k at an average 97.9¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 97.9¢
- Implied odds
- 2.1%
- Size
- $19.9k
- Placed
- Jan 28, 15:53 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Crypterius
- Tx
- 0x592f7fdb…
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Entry to resolution
Grade -2 ptsNo price · entry 97.9¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $34.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | HIGH SELL No @ 82¢ | $319.4k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $35.4k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.2k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded |