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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.7 wins, so it did +9.4 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+9.4 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
2.7
Flagged volume
$407.2k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±16.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$97.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $9.32M volume · 8,469 trades · since Jul 08, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$127.4k
Open P&L · 13 positions
−$2,004
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
473d
905 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | +9.6 pts |
| Crypto | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +9.0 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb03b82…