{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x09e8f0db05570a5048fdccdae58a52c608aa6cf640ced2190dcbeb52ce52f491","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x52fa1ec936487f8fe3c672521700a2ca30e0968ed7c2d72167e4793e4a9b9088:1","id":"trade:0x52fa1ec936487f8fe3c672521700a2ca30e0968ed7c2d72167e4793e4a9b9088:1","implied":0.0010000000000000009,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1774972483,"title":"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?","usd":14985.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb03b826a4fc9893b35d3ddf4f11be824525b6ca1"},{"condition_id":"0x92d2f5f693619c0154d55538a84a3943e787a8ca67907a8e7e5064b0048c83a7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf0fbee75108fd49fa06f7614fa776f463e1594f39506b73bc28a34060959ba3a:1","id":"trade:0xf0fbee75108fd49fa06f7614fa776f463e1594f39506b73bc28a34060959ba3a:1","implied":0.8497338576,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8497338576,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1773538767,"title":"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?","usd":11989.23489042144,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb03b826a4fc9893b35d3ddf4f11be824525b6ca1"},{"condition_id":"0x92d2f5f693619c0154d55538a84a3943e787a8ca67907a8e7e5064b0048c83a7","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x81a305988cb897e16ac35479f530c73525894a99c3a34794d2a528968713b1ee:1","id":"trade:0x81a305988cb897e16ac35479f530c73525894a99c3a34794d2a528968713b1ee:1","implied":0.9589793416,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9589793416,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1772601919,"title":"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?","usd":11976.558740134577,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb03b826a4fc9893b35d3ddf4f11be824525b6ca1"},{"condition_id":"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x908b05d17708ae88cb8a1198d82626f0bcdf7bdd37c7b073ee81d1aad70dd3a0:0","id":"trade:0x908b05d17708ae88cb8a1198d82626f0bcdf7bdd37c7b073ee81d1aad70dd3a0:0","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772580065,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","usd":29999.370600000002,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb03b826a4fc9893b35d3ddf4f11be824525b6ca1"},{"condition_id":"0x70909f0ba8256a89c301da58812ae47203df54957a07c7f8b10235e877ad63c2","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x888df87ecedda6fd81b3d6b009b17cc94dde7f41873d0ffdd740fb7096c781fa:0","id":"trade:0x888df87ecedda6fd81b3d6b009b17cc94dde7f41873d0ffdd740fb7096c781fa:0","implied":0.0020000000000000018,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.998,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1772515981,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?","usd":12974.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb03b826a4fc9893b35d3ddf4f11be824525b6ca1"},{"condition_id":"0x70909f0ba8256a89c301da58812ae47203df54957a07c7f8b10235e877ad63c2","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf7d1ca71dd1a12397832aaa062b7ffedd4054de87574b6e9e6f8e12a4eb5753b:0","id":"trade:0xf7d1ca71dd1a12397832aaa062b7ffedd4054de87574b6e9e6f8e12a4eb5753b:0","implied":0.0020000000000000018,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.998,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1772405939,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?","usd":14970.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb03b826a4fc9893b35d3ddf4f11be824525b6ca1"},{"condition_id":"0x70909f0ba8256a89c301da58812ae47203df54957a07c7f8b10235e877ad63c2","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xdd401a81367415653744457a9f48c407babed66288488f5cd4ec32d0cb111b8d:0","id":"trade:0xdd401a81367415653744457a9f48c407babed66288488f5cd4ec32d0cb111b8d:0","implied":0.9837370931,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9837370931,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772323521,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?","usd":58692.73569773809,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb03b826a4fc9893b35d3ddf4f11be824525b6ca1"},{"condition_id":"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xfa6b45aadf5d2136f7c372893939f96b43de2e5ca2c3d4d70fec2ee1ca182c36:0","id":"trade:0xfa6b45aadf5d2136f7c372893939f96b43de2e5ca2c3d4d70fec2ee1ca182c36:0","implied":0.9636108695646538,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9636108695646538,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772262705,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","usd":29236.801760156814,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb03b826a4fc9893b35d3ddf4f11be824525b6ca1"},{"condition_id":"0xb08e5d3c35323aaef8b46c7bb3466df0b51ee87e1c38faa2ccc5c1a00e88c9a5","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x27234390242496f45db1ba00d374875136a62ef4697da9e4a433066c6780cbfd:1","id":"trade:0x27234390242496f45db1ba00d374875136a62ef4697da9e4a433066c6780cbfd:1","implied":0.9099330197,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9099330197,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1770342277,"title":"Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?","usd":11374.25373955197,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb03b826a4fc9893b35d3ddf4f11be824525b6ca1"},{"condition_id":"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf59f537bbd18ee8cd66cfc42ba024b987806b2cd139dc3d617c72bae5b62d0e4:0","id":"trade:0xf59f537bbd18ee8cd66cfc42ba024b987806b2cd139dc3d617c72bae5b62d0e4:0","implied":0.0030000000000000027,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.997,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1770066716,"title":"US government shutdown Saturday?","usd":27556.46186,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb03b826a4fc9893b35d3ddf4f11be824525b6ca1"},{"condition_id":"0x05beef793157deb1cc34e2d3159539f461b73c7eeaa3b5348617c10eed5509d0","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8820af6bc0d47cc112358a17075de2d1e8ec19c56b06b3bc660ed6c9a3d14d8c:0","id":"trade:0x8820af6bc0d47cc112358a17075de2d1e8ec19c56b06b3bc660ed6c9a3d14d8c:0","implied":0.9897984892,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9897984892,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1770064540,"title":"U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?","usd":11719.273500037352,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb03b826a4fc9893b35d3ddf4f11be824525b6ca1"},{"condition_id":"0x05beef793157deb1cc34e2d3159539f461b73c7eeaa3b5348617c10eed5509d0","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xc1293d8ea58151387a49cc4c5ef55d2f7192b8a2e84cbe43c30ba20b382701a5:0","id":"trade:0xc1293d8ea58151387a49cc4c5ef55d2f7192b8a2e84cbe43c30ba20b382701a5:0","implied":0.9929538451,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9929538451,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1770034718,"title":"U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?","usd":15379.137250446976,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb03b826a4fc9893b35d3ddf4f11be824525b6ca1"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xfca63149badb68776e2b5d8328381c23ed3cbc54633be1fb7b42e64912fe3688:1","id":"trade:0xfca63149badb68776e2b5d8328381c23ed3cbc54633be1fb7b42e64912fe3688:1","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1769924238,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":34016.949,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb03b826a4fc9893b35d3ddf4f11be824525b6ca1"},{"condition_id":"0x17815081230e3b9c78b098162c33b1ffa68c4ec29c123d3d14989599e0c2e113","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb445435141fea082f4d43b3a806feba1bd97b51b396898cb9af48f51ad7a88c9:1","id":"trade:0xb445435141fea082f4d43b3a806feba1bd97b51b396898cb9af48f51ad7a88c9:1","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1769361570,"title":"Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?","usd":33299.667,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb03b826a4fc9893b35d3ddf4f11be824525b6ca1"},{"condition_id":"0x32707ae194389a70f25314ec934851daba12d893da616c492ffe8b655b7759a9","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x14cc83964249471a84b51ef76c11d4ccd2f929c94d46278c47deb4d47fb6649f:1","id":"trade:0x14cc83964249471a84b51ef76c11d4ccd2f929c94d46278c47deb4d47fb6649f:1","implied":0.0020000000000000018,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.998,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1767425127,"title":"Will Eleven die in \"Stranger Things: Season 5\"?","usd":29940.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb03b826a4fc9893b35d3ddf4f11be824525b6ca1"},{"condition_id":"0x32707ae194389a70f25314ec934851daba12d893da616c492ffe8b655b7759a9","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x6edfd2e1cecce593cc53be03faa126f14780007e946baa1b76ddae3d152df626:1","id":"trade:0x6edfd2e1cecce593cc53be03faa126f14780007e946baa1b76ddae3d152df626:1","implied":0.9939999999999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9939999999999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1767287839,"title":"Will Eleven die in \"Stranger Things: Season 5\"?","usd":41360.25054,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb03b826a4fc9893b35d3ddf4f11be824525b6ca1"},{"condition_id":"0x6903b766f5fda3d5b02f4472a6b4154419e78b7fd126c0b29ce17bb8e20b20cc","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x605185f2db2b21adc8b3bad3d2f5b8abaa248c0b9ee99ffc546db30e1f3b519b:1","id":"trade:0x605185f2db2b21adc8b3bad3d2f5b8abaa248c0b9ee99ffc546db30e1f3b519b:1","implied":0.993,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.993,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1765229051,"title":"Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?","usd":17685.17112,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xb03b826a4fc9893b35d3ddf4f11be824525b6ca1"}],"record":{"called":3,"edge":0.09378459369999999,"exp_rate":0.9062154063,"expected":2.7186462189,"hit":1.0,"n":3,"se":0.16632602261565585},"wallet":"0xb03b826a4fc9893b35d3ddf4f11be824525b6ca1"}
