← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.0k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 15,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xb03b…6ca1 took No (sell) for $15.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- Mar 31, 11:54 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xb03b…6ca1
- Tx
- 0x52fa1ec9…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+9.4 pts
expected 2.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $58.0k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $38.7k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $59.1k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $37.0k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $134.8k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $20.0k | excluded |