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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 4 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 3.2 wins, so it did +20.9 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+20.9 pts
Called / graded
4/4
Expected from price
3.2
Flagged volume
$699.0k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±19.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$18.6k
Last 30 days +$0 · $4.80M volume · 2,730 trades · since Dec 10, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$18.9k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$130
Closed-position win rate
52%
104 closed
Wallet age · markets
318d
86 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 4 | 4 | 3.2 | +20.9 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7d3a81…