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What this means. A wallet put $11.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 80% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.2k
BUY No @ 80¢ · 14,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet KokoVeLeon1 took No (buy) for $11.2k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 80% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 80¢ means
80%chance the market gave
−400American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 80¢
- Implied odds
- 80.0%
- Size
- $11.2k
- Placed
- Jan 15, 01:44 EST
- Market close
- Jan 17, 02:47 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- KokoVeLeon1
- Tx
- 0x6a5ec0e6…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+20.9 pts
expected 3.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +20 ptsNo price · entry 80¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $45.9k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $20.9k | excluded |