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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did +8.1 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+8.1 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.8
Flagged volume
$865.9k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±19.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$65.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $22.33M volume · 10,085 trades · since Dec 14, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$903.8k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
679d
1418 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +8.9 pts |
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +7.4 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0c4b64…