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Hiworld.

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did -96.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-96.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$323.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±19.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$22.6k
Last 30 days −$1,255 · $3.38M volume · 6,052 trades · since Jan 04, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$19.1k
Open P&L · 60 positions
−$10.8k
Closed-position win rate
59%
397 closed
Wallet age · markets
293d
398 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other101.0-96.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $32.9k0% 168d agoexcluded
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢ $19.8k99% 194d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $14.4k96% 205d agomissed
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 91¢ $10.4k91% 239d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ $18.3k98% 240d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ $20.7k99% 241d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 98.2¢ $30.8k2% 243d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 97.7¢ $30.6k98% 244d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% 245d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ $17.5k98% 245d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 95.5¢ $13.4k96% 246d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ $13.1k98% 246d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $21.5k100% 247d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ $48.8k
2.7× usual
98% 257d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.9k0% 280d agoexcluded

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