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tianjiyuyunzhilu

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$680.9k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$29.2k
Last 30 days +$3,055 · $12.30M volume · 9,470 trades · since Nov 09, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$42.4k
Open P&L · 15 positions
−$1,076
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
349d
1952 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $19.9k100% 40d agoexcluded
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $14.0k100% 56d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $23.0k100% 128d agoexcluded
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $28.0k100% 128d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $39.9k100% 143d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $14.8k99% 145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ $10.5k99% 145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $17.7k100% 150d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by May 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ $19.9k100% 165d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by May 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢ $10.2k100% 165d agoexcluded
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k100% 173d agoexcluded
Trump out as President by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k100% 177d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $16.7k100% 177d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $20.0k100% 177d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ $10.2k99% 206d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ $15.3k98% 217d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $15.7k99% 241d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k100% 247d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k100% 252d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $12.3k0% 256d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $40.0k
2.0× usual
100% 259d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $20.0k100% 264d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $13.7k100% 265d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $11.8k96% 265d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $20.0k96% 266d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $55.0k
2.8× usual
0% 268d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ $29.8k100% 268d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ $25.0k99% 269d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $20.9k100% 280d agoexcluded
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $56.9k
2.8× usual
100% 294d agoexcluded

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