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What this means. A wallet put $17.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?excluded
$17.7k
BUY No @ 99.7¢ · 17,742 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other

What happened

Wallet tianjiyuyunzhilu took No (buy) for $17.7k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $17.7k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.7¢
Implied odds
99.7%
Size
$17.7k
Placed
May 26, 23:27 EDT
Market close
May 25, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
tianjiyuyunzhilu
Tx
0xe8a2c99f…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $17.6k0% 5245242150d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.2k0% SomeoneIn2077150d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $76.2k
2.3× usual
0% Pajamapants150d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $25.0k0% badbbd150d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.2k0% Circlebite150d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $21.6k100% d1k21150d agoexcluded