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What this means. A wallet put $57.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?called
$57.6k
BUY No @ 95¢ · 60,633 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet onekey09 took No (buy) for $57.6k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $57.6k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
95¢
Implied odds
95.0%
Size
$57.6k
Placed
Jan 21, 06:25 EST
Market close
Jan 30, 19:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
onekey09
Tx
0x9cf7db8d…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+7.7 pts
expected 1.8 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +5 pts
No price · entry 95¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 95¢ · $57.6k WHALE $57.6K @ 95¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $34.0k100% 0xb03b…6ca1265d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?HIGH SELL No @ 82¢ $319.4k
3.7× usual
18% 0xd3d7…ac2b265d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $35.4k100% alliswell265d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $18.8k100% SwissMiss LOSING265d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.2k0% rocks265d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $12.3k100% onekey09265d agoexcluded