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What this means. A wallet put $23.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 77% chance. It won. This wallet has a proven record: +15.0 pts vs the price over 46 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?called
$23.1k
BUY No @ 77¢ · 29,961 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther

What happened

Wallet ScottyNooo took No (buy) for $23.1k at an average 77¢. At that price the market implied a 77% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $23.1k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 77¢ means
77%chance the market gave
−335American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
77¢
Implied odds
77.0%
Size
$23.1k
Placed
Jan 10, 16:17 EST
Market close
Jan 30, 19:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
ScottyNooo
Tx
0x01f8e507…
This wallet's graded record
45/46+15.0 pts
expected 38.1 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $34.0k100% 0xb03b…6ca1265d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?HIGH SELL No @ 82¢ $319.4k
3.7× usual
18% 0xd3d7…ac2b265d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $35.4k100% alliswell266d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $18.8k100% SwissMiss LOSING266d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.2k0% rocks266d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $12.3k100% onekey09266d agoexcluded