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What this means. A wallet put $80.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. It won. This wallet has a losing record: -17.7 pts vs the price over 33 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$80.5k
BUY No @ 97¢ · 83,060 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)3.2× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet SwissMiss took No (buy) for $80.5k at an average 97¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $80.5k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3205American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97¢
- Implied odds
- 97.0%
- Size
- $80.5k
- Placed
- Jan 25, 14:17 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- SwissMiss
- Tx
- 0x6c9d05f2…
This wallet's graded record
22/33-17.7 pts
expected 27.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +3 ptsNo price · entry 97¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $34.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | HIGH SELL No @ 82¢ | $319.4k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $35.4k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.2k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded |