← Wallets
+$989Yes · avg 33¢ → 46¢ · $3,500+$261Yes · avg 72¢ → 80¢ · $2,928−$42Yes · avg 81¢ → 80¢ · $1,949+$466Yes · avg 56¢ → 84¢ · $1,398−$103Yes · avg 41¢ → 32¢ · $411+$34No · avg 61¢ → 72¢ · $236−$22No · avg 54¢ → 18¢ · $11
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 4 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 3.6 wins, so it did +9.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+9.0 pts
Called / graded
4/4
Expected from price
3.6
Flagged volume
$217.8k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±14.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$49.7k
Last 30 days +$995 · $2.57M volume · 3,728 trades · since Jun 20, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$59.7k
Open P&L · 19 positions
−$9,792
Closed-position win rate
60%
291 closed
Wallet age · markets
491d
283 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 4 | 4 | 3.6 | +9.0 pts |
History
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