← Wallets
+$303No · avg 90¢ → 90.5¢ · $54.9k · 1 proven with, 0 against+$15.4kYes · avg 44¢ → 78¢ · $35.6k+$13.8kYes · avg 37¢ → 62¢ · $34.7k+$1,858No · avg 90.5¢ → 97.3¢ · $26.8k−$18.8kYes · avg 48¢ → 28¢ · $26.3k−$6,129No · avg 48¢ → 33¢ · $13.5k+$3,361No · avg 16¢ → 24¢ · $10.0k+$2,145Yes · avg 30¢ → 39¢ · $9,560
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$235.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1.11M
Last 30 days −$28.7k · $103.12M volume · 44,035 trades · since Dec 08, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$3.54M
Open P&L · 72 positions
−$19.1k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
1781d
1033 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k | excluded |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | LOW SELL No @ 96.2¢ | $19.2k | missed |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $16.4k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x8a4c78…