← Wallets
+$1,341Yes · avg 75¢ → 80¢ · $23.0k−$1,102No · avg 79¢ → 70¢ · $9,624+$109No · avg 91.3¢ → 92.5¢ · $8,788+$239No · avg 90.7¢ → 93.5¢ · $8,014+$433Yes · avg 83¢ → 88¢ · $8,009+$371Yes · avg 74¢ → 80¢ · $5,880+$37No · avg 92.9¢ → 93.5¢ · $5,834 · 1 proven with, 0 against+$630No · avg 58¢ → 65¢ · $5,711
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did +28.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+28.2 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
0.2
Flagged volume
$352.8k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±12.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$162.2k
Last 30 days +$17.4k · $81.88M volume · 166,843 trades · since Jun 28, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.28M
Open P&L · 419 positions
−$11.9k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
849d
5057 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 3 | 1 | 0.2 | +28.2 pts |
History
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