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What this means. A wallet put $25.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 80% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.8k
BUY No @ 80¢ · 32,031 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x8d61…12f6 took No (buy) for $25.8k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 80% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $25.8k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 80¢ means
80%chance the market gave
−412American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 80¢
- Implied odds
- 80.5%
- Size
- $25.8k
- Placed
- Jan 09, 21:26 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x8d61…12f6
- Tx
- 0xf113b748…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+19.5 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $34.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | HIGH SELL No @ 82¢ | $319.4k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $35.4k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.2k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded |