← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 9. The prices it paid implied about 4.2 wins, so it did -13.1 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-13.1 pts
Called / graded
3/9
Expected from price
4.2
Flagged volume
$1.82M
Sample size9 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±15.2 pts std. error.
Graded P&L at their stakes
−$249k9 graded bets in the order they resolved · 3 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.
Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.
Without their best bet
Leave out the single bet that helped most (Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? at 68¢) and the edge is -18.7 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.
Calibration: won vs price paid
20–40¢
0% vs 30% · n=5
40–60¢
0% vs 47% · n=1
60–80¢
100% vs 73% · n=3
Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$334.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $48.21M volume · 22,375 trades · since Mar 19, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$5.31M
Open P&L · 124 positions
−$606.1k
Closed-position win rate
82%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
584d
722 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 7 | 3 | 3.4 | -5.3 pts |
| Politics | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -46.6 pts |
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | -34.0 pts |
History
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x090a0d…