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What this means. A wallet put $118.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$118.5k
BUY No @ 98.8¢ · 119,967 shares
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)3.6× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet 0x090a…01b4 took No (buy) for $118.5k at an average 98.8¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $118.5k+2
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−8233American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.8¢
- Implied odds
- 98.8%
- Size
- $118.5k
- Placed
- Aug 19, 10:13 EDT
- Market close
- Dec 07, 20:12 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x090a…01b4
- Tx
- 0xef10c88f…
This wallet's graded record
3/9-13.1 pts
expected 4.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $149.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $49.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $49.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $149.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $18.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $18.5k | excluded |