0x6327…e181

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +11.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

+11.8 pts

Called / graded

1/1

Expected from price

0.9

Flagged volume

$19.31M

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±32.3 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$41.2k

Last 30 days +$0 · $75.43M volume · 10,065 trades · since Oct 15, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢	$43.3k	1%	293d ago	excluded
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢	$15.4k	1%	293d ago	excluded
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$49.4k	100%	293d ago	excluded
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 98.8¢	$15.4k	1%	293d ago	excluded
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢	$15.4k	99%	293d ago	excluded
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$44.9k	100%	293d ago	excluded
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$16.5k	0%	293d ago	excluded
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢	$45.7k	1%	293d ago	excluded
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢	$19.9k	1%	293d ago	excluded
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢	$15.6k	1%	293d ago	excluded
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$28.2k	100%	294d ago	excluded
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$51.8k	100%	294d ago	excluded
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$31.5k	100%	294d ago	excluded
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢	$10.7k	99%	294d ago	excluded
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢	$28.1k	99%	294d ago	excluded
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢	$56.4k	1%	294d ago	excluded
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢	$30.8k	1%	294d ago	excluded
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$61.7k	100%	295d ago	excluded
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢	$34.0k	99%	295d ago	excluded
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢	$49.6k	98%	295d ago	excluded
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢	$51.5k	98%	295d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢	$154.3k 3.1× usual	99%	296d ago	excluded
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$15.4k	0%	296d ago	excluded
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢	$34.7k	1%	296d ago	excluded
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$15.4k	100%	296d ago	excluded
Will Jorge Pinto win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$12.0k	100%	296d ago	excluded
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$35.0k	100%	296d ago	excluded
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$10.5k	0%	297d ago	excluded
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$10.5k	100%	297d ago	excluded
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢	$16.4k	99%	297d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$154.8k 3.1× usual	0%	297d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$150.2k 3.0× usual	100%	298d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢	$17.7k	99%	298d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$103.0k 2.1× usual	100%	298d ago	excluded
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$84.8k	100%	299d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢	$18.6k	0%	299d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 98.6¢	$120.7k 2.4× usual	1%	299d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$18.6k	100%	300d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢	$135.9k 2.7× usual	99%	300d ago	excluded
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$42.3k	0%	300d ago	excluded

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