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What this means. A wallet put $38.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$38.7k
SELL No @ 99.4¢ · 38,925 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x6327…e181 took No (sell) for $38.7k at an average 99.4¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $38.7k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.4¢
- Implied odds
- 0.6%
- As American odds
- +16567 no vig
- Size
- $38.7k
- Placed
- Dec 27, 17:17 EST
- Market close
- Jul 02, 20:09 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x6327…e181
- Tx
- 0x5fcc52a9…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+11.8 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $299.4k 3.3× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $519.5k 21.7× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $299.4k 3.3× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $47.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $15.4k | excluded |