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What this means. A wallet put $42.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$42.3k
BUY No @ 99.8¢ · 42,400 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x6327…e181 took No (buy) for $42.3k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $42.3k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 99.8%
- Size
- $42.3k
- Placed
- Dec 27, 12:46 EST
- Market close
- Jun 28, 03:11 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x6327…e181
- Tx
- 0x070ebdb2…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+11.8 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $60.9k | excluded |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $38.0k | excluded |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $76.9k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $37.0k | excluded |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $26.0k | excluded |