← Wallets
+$9,620No · avg 50¢ → 98.1¢ · $19.6k+$342No · avg 92.9¢ → 96.5¢ · $9,121+$120No · avg 96.1¢ → 97.8¢ · $6,846+$489Yes · avg 1.4¢ → 50¢ · $502+$487Yes · avg 1.4¢ → 50¢ · $501+$487Yes · avg 1.4¢ → 50¢ · $500+$487Yes · avg 1.4¢ → 50¢ · $500+$486Yes · avg 1.4¢ → 50¢ · $500
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 3.1 wins, so it did -2.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-2.7 pts
Called / graded
3/4
Expected from price
3.1
Flagged volume
$1.34M
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±18.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$66.1k
Last 30 days +$15.7k · $63.12M volume · 35,251 trades · since Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.26M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$549.1k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
178d
2665 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 3 | 3.1 | -2.7 pts |
History
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