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What this means. A wallet put $54.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
$54.9k
BUY No @ 99.8¢ · 55,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x6327…e181 took No (buy) for $54.9k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $54.9k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.8¢
Implied odds
99.8%
Size
$54.9k
Placed
Dec 26, 07:21 EST
Market close
Jun 27, 04:34 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x6327…e181
Tx
0xee169ae1…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+11.8 pts
expected 0.9 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $44.1k0% Snpe205d agoexcluded
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $29.8k0% Snpe206d agoexcluded
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $47.0k0% Snpe206d agoexcluded
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $23.7k0% Snpe206d agoexcluded
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?MED SELL No @ 99.8¢ $140.1k
4.6× usual
0% Snpe206d agoexcluded
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $13.8k0% hhytey215d agoexcluded