← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $118.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$118.3k
BUY No @ 53¢ · 223,211 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)3.6× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet 0x090a…01b4 took No (buy) for $118.3k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $118.3k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.0%
- Size
- $118.3k
- Placed
- Jan 14, 15:06 EST
- Market close
- Mar 03, 19:58 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x090a…01b4
- Tx
- 0xaa0761b2…
This wallet's graded record
3/9-13.1 pts
expected 4.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $161.5k 8.1× usual |
excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k | excluded |