{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x70909f0ba8256a89c301da58812ae47203df54957a07c7f8b10235e877ad63c2","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2e55e4ef731c8ab173340e5903884a85f460f800488bd67444b436c06f6a6278:1","id":"trade:0x2e55e4ef731c8ab173340e5903884a85f460f800488bd67444b436c06f6a6278:1","implied":0.669908721,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.330091279,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1770537529,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?","usd":66840.96210012844,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0xe546672750517f62c45a5a00067481981e62b9c20fa8220203232c9dc8fd2093","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb663b84c54da33914d2de094414f47ac870754ccf953618703d653a3b93a9fab:0","id":"trade:0xb663b84c54da33914d2de094414f47ac870754ccf953618703d653a3b93a9fab:0","implied":0.7617854954000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.2382145046,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1770537283,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?","usd":12987.307097799147,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa33a9bdffcdb0ed027e962c765d971ffcc381607054d01c52ae52f72d811de6b:0","id":"trade:0xa33a9bdffcdb0ed027e962c765d971ffcc381607054d01c52ae52f72d811de6b:0","implied":0.7990106623,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.2009893377,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1770537217,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","usd":15161.266898698263,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0xa0eafdfa7da17483796f77f4b287d28834ab97db4a9a6e999b52c1ba239bc2f3","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x085e503a43e88e5b4a3dd7a17f1ae5570fd2e2a528bb9833a88f6a0914371c7c:0","id":"trade:0x085e503a43e88e5b4a3dd7a17f1ae5570fd2e2a528bb9833a88f6a0914371c7c:0","implied":0.3255334901999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.6744665098000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1770537109,"title":"Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?","usd":72517.81628455405,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1f75000a067fe84e897d4d8036c8ce8d2232ca932b7d1ddecbbe47b63b5773e2:1","id":"trade:0x1f75000a067fe84e897d4d8036c8ce8d2232ca932b7d1ddecbbe47b63b5773e2:1","implied":0.27213716093385665,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.7278628390661434,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1770537075,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?","usd":113832.71121909848,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x4b02efe53e631ada84681303fd66d79ad615f3d2b6a28b4633d43d935f89af58","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xae26a7dac3afa9379f24393f129b4705cffdc48e037946121e87a7b9b7e2d451:0","id":"trade:0xae26a7dac3afa9379f24393f129b4705cffdc48e037946121e87a7b9b7e2d451:0","implied":0.6196790218,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.3803209782,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1770537029,"title":"US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?","usd":16020.895700752193,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0xb02e8bc0b915c7d6fc79363f84ca301edeb3c5cd7a7c30cf9517cb4a49a96e35","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xdc00c2c56ff9552c84631484af0e3e6cdad50c62bc470295435a32ca79c27483:1","id":"trade:0xdc00c2c56ff9552c84631484af0e3e6cdad50c62bc470295435a32ca79c27483:1","implied":0.059880514300000076,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9401194856999999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1770537007,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?","usd":18883.324600523913,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x4b02efe53e631ada84681303fd66d79ad615f3d2b6a28b4633d43d935f89af58","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7e5d37644c93eb0e4328bd26eefc4c8fc8a2cb83514457ee4140524351d3cdb7:1","id":"trade:0x7e5d37644c93eb0e4328bd26eefc4c8fc8a2cb83514457ee4140524351d3cdb7:1","implied":0.41359596499999995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.586404035,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1770536963,"title":"US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?","usd":28517.402898004304,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x5ec80dc407457301f282a2b44341947afc700dfaa7923d14c8894e04bc63b03f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xdcfb087b7e1e290cfa929ed0b099212a637de5a14208a4ca0c2172aadec75731:1","id":"trade:0xdcfb087b7e1e290cfa929ed0b099212a637de5a14208a4ca0c2172aadec75731:1","implied":0.4662658892,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.5337341108,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1770536919,"title":"Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orb\u00e1n?","usd":20625.295399947612,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x59c4a4b7791c24542e0b108df222d3d3a3271573a12c8c9de1eccc28751cab33:1","id":"trade:0x59c4a4b7791c24542e0b108df222d3d3a3271573a12c8c9de1eccc28751cab33:1","implied":0.22146949120000003,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.7785305088,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1770536903,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","usd":51954.22920041165,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa4809dabc8da629cc522d8fb4922e39a6484764da03394ce081d302b10f12159:1","id":"trade:0xa4809dabc8da629cc522d8fb4922e39a6484764da03394ce081d302b10f12159:1","implied":0.35277539199999997,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.647224608,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1770536837,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":51181.28580163872,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0xc914317b14972d5d15f30740d3bdf32f4028877c13b9d7ccc78b4ba33f67fb1e","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xba7b1aa0c394f19a518d5a1265912ceb0a195bff369150973847a1bec551228c:0","id":"trade:0xba7b1aa0c394f19a518d5a1265912ceb0a195bff369150973847a1bec551228c:0","implied":0.6835466589,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.3164533411,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1770536797,"title":"Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?","usd":37963.82822587385,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0xe546672750517f62c45a5a00067481981e62b9c20fa8220203232c9dc8fd2093","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2bac1eb6e3bfd00470e9dfcfc29c685336d2143c8eaecbe7f700d862f6a88e69:0","id":"trade:0x2bac1eb6e3bfd00470e9dfcfc29c685336d2143c8eaecbe7f700d862f6a88e69:0","implied":0.2423063468,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.2423063468,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1770412003,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?","usd":13210.391797600983,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x4b02efe53e631ada84681303fd66d79ad615f3d2b6a28b4633d43d935f89af58","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8f600e0bd1c933d1d0c318dede1ce645ef588935930261f0debfe3bb9ddf7ae5:1","id":"trade:0x8f600e0bd1c933d1d0c318dede1ce645ef588935930261f0debfe3bb9ddf7ae5:1","implied":0.5874252872,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.5874252872,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1770234615,"title":"US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?","usd":16501.099401355958,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0xb02e8bc0b915c7d6fc79363f84ca301edeb3c5cd7a7c30cf9517cb4a49a96e35","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1b98a1413c38746b5724a9454193fbb51899ef53b270ce79838702755a31b028:1","id":"trade:0x1b98a1413c38746b5724a9454193fbb51899ef53b270ce79838702755a31b028:1","implied":0.8479206654999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.8479206654999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1770234577,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?","usd":17031.410800092894,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2ea9c68c6bcea5adb7fa22abe89293b679f7405d1312be8395f78c7e04b4efbe:1","id":"trade:0x2ea9c68c6bcea5adb7fa22abe89293b679f7405d1312be8395f78c7e04b4efbe:1","implied":0.703758684,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.703758684,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1770234571,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","usd":35187.934199999996,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x70909f0ba8256a89c301da58812ae47203df54957a07c7f8b10235e877ad63c2","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x335aa1391631797db74a54ffd7afefbf292b933b65824036f440909077a16f75:1","id":"trade:0x335aa1391631797db74a54ffd7afefbf292b933b65824036f440909077a16f75:1","implied":0.186769682827009,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.813230317172991,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1770231961,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?","usd":50463.16129934997,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x70909f0ba8256a89c301da58812ae47203df54957a07c7f8b10235e877ad63c2","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x0b907294597affc6c93536ab5dabdff1605e064b33efed2f5730be3af33fe75f:1","id":"trade:0x0b907294597affc6c93536ab5dabdff1605e064b33efed2f5730be3af33fe75f:1","implied":0.17000000000000004,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.83,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1770226153,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?","usd":10986.7017,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe50c49eaec89a635b3bc228af4e82cd50a4e61aee0bb559b4d56ee955677c057:0","id":"trade:0xe50c49eaec89a635b3bc228af4e82cd50a4e61aee0bb559b4d56ee955677c057:0","implied":0.2584977318,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.2584977318,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1770226073,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","usd":14443.53749952914,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x4b02efe53e631ada84681303fd66d79ad615f3d2b6a28b4633d43d935f89af58","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd93189419b5aaf14d5800aa16bc73668bf5007ba658901105257e3fc3e97e30e:0","id":"trade:0xd93189419b5aaf14d5800aa16bc73668bf5007ba658901105257e3fc3e97e30e:0","implied":0.3880647382,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.3880647382,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1770226069,"title":"US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?","usd":11261.498999258247,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0xd5a91c9ee50ba80385283714f2a66b1e16d544a682af2af06a8f57fcf1d0233d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1216a9434641274c8b7eed34ff3ee2693e069025f6dc0af39d4c25cfcb6c7290:1","id":"trade:0x1216a9434641274c8b7eed34ff3ee2693e069025f6dc0af39d4c25cfcb6c7290:1","implied":0.22999999999999998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.77,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1770137566,"title":"Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?","usd":13148.2582,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x92cf868b684610a5cda7bdfccc04de0c12808d3a41c8d1c97a2f1c3ac1198b65:0","id":"trade:0x92cf868b684610a5cda7bdfccc04de0c12808d3a41c8d1c97a2f1c3ac1198b65:0","implied":0.9969981327999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9969981327999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1769835788,"title":"US government shutdown Saturday?","usd":25769.06178913512,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x60114fd9d2144f0fd39461030cb8b3728aa3676b26b88f1a525e214edf2f8560:0","id":"trade:0x60114fd9d2144f0fd39461030cb8b3728aa3676b26b88f1a525e214edf2f8560:0","implied":0.892396255,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.892396255,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1769790754,"title":"US government shutdown Saturday?","usd":178479.251,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x65e40a87e599db2d30fa91cf2d22104ef2e715a7d97c9f39e7ca09a7f2e067b6:0","id":"trade:0x65e40a87e599db2d30fa91cf2d22104ef2e715a7d97c9f39e7ca09a7f2e067b6:0","implied":0.21999999999999997,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.78,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1769787478,"title":"US government shutdown Saturday?","usd":39000.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xd58b0af5227e6afbf193c99139b64f332c3c7ba7489a3062859d710f057a9168:0","id":"trade:0xd58b0af5227e6afbf193c99139b64f332c3c7ba7489a3062859d710f057a9168:0","implied":0.22999999999999998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.77,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1769709246,"title":"US government shutdown Saturday?","usd":38244.36,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x393557eaf4c3ec53cf4a341d12263914944220359b6f02b703109ce220257641","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x6a90a4fc781960f4aa1dd7d990e7c06f7ca944a6de9f135465d09b87fa475bcf:1","id":"trade:0x6a90a4fc781960f4aa1dd7d990e7c06f7ca944a6de9f135465d09b87fa475bcf:1","implied":0.34,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Broncos","price":0.34,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1769299314,"title":"Patriots vs. Broncos","usd":10200.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x48f7700098cd6c09980ae46ac78c13e262046250fd85ac96c2106eac29010812:0","id":"trade:0x48f7700098cd6c09980ae46ac78c13e262046250fd85ac96c2106eac29010812:0","implied":0.7305908167218393,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.7305908167218393,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1769298732,"title":"US government shutdown Saturday?","usd":80343.67119937038,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0xabb86b080e9858dcb3f46954010e49b6f539c20036856c7f999395bfd58d01e6","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x26c7c4d134c7a5c7f7bc14764b1aabc13d8b8aafbaf281b00376e944d93a2f90:1","id":"trade:0x26c7c4d134c7a5c7f7bc14764b1aabc13d8b8aafbaf281b00376e944d93a2f90:1","implied":0.75,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.75,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1769276816,"title":"US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?","usd":10492.0725,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x70909f0ba8256a89c301da58812ae47203df54957a07c7f8b10235e877ad63c2","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xaa0761b29188d87f596269e4f74cd94b945e33978bf7080da0dd152895e54c5c:1","id":"trade:0xaa0761b29188d87f596269e4f74cd94b945e33978bf7080da0dd152895e54c5c:1","implied":0.5299643964455851,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.5299643964455851,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1768421208,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?","usd":118293.8087,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf3c990ac536c245c65f497d74fe0edb9ea197313ca6a22caae0241ae3844b19d:1","id":"trade:0xf3c990ac536c245c65f497d74fe0edb9ea197313ca6a22caae0241ae3844b19d:1","implied":0.7599978440999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.7599978440999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1768420994,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":35251.62600105778,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x580adc1327de9bf7c179ef5aaffa3377bb5cb252b7d6390b027172d43fd6f993","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe8db81a90713adcbb8c073278b77669a4a88faba36011a65b307ea59ad2e559d:0","id":"trade:0xe8db81a90713adcbb8c073278b77669a4a88faba36011a65b307ea59ad2e559d:0","implied":0.43291149599569345,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.43291149599569345,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1767432097,"title":"Maduro out by January 31, 2026?","usd":43012.830798793715,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x580adc1327de9bf7c179ef5aaffa3377bb5cb252b7d6390b027172d43fd6f993","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2958fe2687e03b3af57500da11f4251bb3e006e2ba7090492ad84422a79d9999:1","id":"trade:0x2958fe2687e03b3af57500da11f4251bb3e006e2ba7090492ad84422a79d9999:1","implied":0.45396330812560726,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.45396330812560726,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1767425249,"title":"Maduro out by January 31, 2026?","usd":23670.209800171237,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x39b4dcda8b5867309d1b1d47fe2f5526afa87faf8aee7fed3e2f08a07f81efae:0","id":"trade:0x39b4dcda8b5867309d1b1d47fe2f5526afa87faf8aee7fed3e2f08a07f81efae:0","implied":0.061656056354919886,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9383439436450801,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1762193091,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":86195.692889992,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0xf2ce8d3897ac5009a131637d3575f1f91c579bd08eecce6ae2b2da0f32bbe6f1","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb6c4b532de118e8f344a885fea785c17e4a532de3715991f7cf63960777e7366:1","id":"trade:0xb6c4b532de118e8f344a885fea785c17e4a532de3715991f7cf63960777e7366:1","implied":0.03959241849999995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9604075815,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1761765531,"title":"Xi Jinping out in 2025?","usd":12485.298559500001,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x25c9f6e8c918c1d57921ba272367544cd194ad5a495a4957d169011d10e5ad58:0","id":"trade:0x25c9f6e8c918c1d57921ba272367544cd194ad5a495a4957d169011d10e5ad58:0","implied":0.944,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.944,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1761596491,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":12887.799519999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x396bc68f12c60a07aa6e42fe8ca08b8f7594461ea92189f1a06170f5e7391edc:0","id":"trade:0x396bc68f12c60a07aa6e42fe8ca08b8f7594461ea92189f1a06170f5e7391edc:0","implied":0.08600000000000008,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9139999999999999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1760797914,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":37578.0132,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb2909672abcd086f731095b7f1d761cdd197fed555dd1b257d6bfcd6f9b0cbac:1","id":"trade:0xb2909672abcd086f731095b7f1d761cdd197fed555dd1b257d6bfcd6f9b0cbac:1","implied":0.81,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.81,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1760643067,"title":"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","usd":30960.3384,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0xf2ce8d3897ac5009a131637d3575f1f91c579bd08eecce6ae2b2da0f32bbe6f1","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x93cc91d7f5f86862e6f7627fce06517c3c1bb1bd6d3b8caa2b2d502425826e17:1","id":"trade:0x93cc91d7f5f86862e6f7627fce06517c3c1bb1bd6d3b8caa2b2d502425826e17:1","implied":0.93,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.93,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1760049045,"title":"Xi Jinping out in 2025?","usd":82965.8487,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x5299179a4f036a4b2d3df2284cdbd850b71179587b226f295395e2908b28c8bd:0","id":"trade:0x5299179a4f036a4b2d3df2284cdbd850b71179587b226f295395e2908b28c8bd:0","implied":0.11498251089999989,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.8850174891000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1759845404,"title":"Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","usd":150452.973147,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"},{"condition_id":"0x8f0f5125028c535d93f548225a4a2479a03793a49705973c763423aa43bdc59d","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xef10c88fae839e60b6d4b93448eeb01a2877cb0ca37bebefbfc2c4009e0b749f:1","id":"trade:0xef10c88fae839e60b6d4b93448eeb01a2877cb0ca37bebefbfc2c4009e0b749f:1","implied":0.988,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.988,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1755612782,"title":"Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?","usd":118526.99092,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"}],"record":{"called":3,"edge":-0.131139603925984,"exp_rate":0.4644729372593173,"expected":4.180256435333856,"hit":0.3333333333333333,"n":9,"se":0.15245070578203557},"wallet":"0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4"}