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What this means. A wallet put $16.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 62% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.0k
SELL Yes @ 38¢ · 42,125 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x090a…01b4 took Yes (sell) for $16.0k at an average 38¢. At that price the market implied a 62% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 38¢
- Implied odds
- 62.0%
- Size
- $16.0k
- Placed
- Feb 08, 02:50 EST
- Market close
- Feb 28, 04:34 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x090a…01b4
- Tx
- 0xae26a7da…
This wallet's graded record
3/9-13.1 pts
expected 4.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $27.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $38.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $106.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |