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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$386.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$379.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $10.78M volume · 1,066 trades · since Jan 07, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$379.1k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
39%
77 closed
Wallet age · markets
290d
77 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 97.4¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $12.0k | called |
 US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $51.2k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $106.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $203.8k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x1abe13…