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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$125.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$3,980
Last 30 days −$0 · $1.13M volume · 1,921 trades · since Mar 19, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$3,857
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$125
Closed-position win rate
48%
160 closed
Wallet age · markets
584d
130 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $29.0k | excluded |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.1¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
 Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $32.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xdd6784…