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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 1.2 wins, so it did +19.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+19.5 pts
Called / graded
2/4
Expected from price
1.2
Flagged volume
$333.9k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±16.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$147.1k
Last 30 days −$870 · $32.29M volume · 67,651 trades · since Feb 20, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$369.6k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
611d
2630 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | -1.1 pts |
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.2 | +81.5 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x3e5b23…