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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did +60.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+60.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$231.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$31.6k
Last 30 days −$0 · $3.84M volume · 685 trades · since Jan 04, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$27.8k
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$3,125
Closed-position win rate
30%
40 closed
Wallet age · markets
292d
46 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | +60.0 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xacbfc1…