← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.0k
BUY Yes @ 40¢ · 25,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet moa122 took Yes (buy) for $10.0k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 40¢
- Implied odds
- 40.0%
- Size
- $10.0k
- Placed
- Jan 13, 04:01 EST
- Market close
- Mar 03, 19:58 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- moa122
- Tx
- 0x2726c39f…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+60.0 pts
expected 0.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $161.5k 8.1× usual |
excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k | excluded |