← Wallets
+$2,174Yes · avg 69¢ → 80¢ · $16.4k+$5,387No · avg 58¢ → 92¢ · $14.6k+$4,160No · avg 37¢ → 55¢ · $13.1k+$1,189No · avg 65¢ → 72¢ · $11.3k · 1 proven with, 0 against+$2,700Yes · avg 40¢ → 54¢ · $10.6k+$1,492No · avg 74¢ → 95.4¢ · $6,607+$311No · avg 60¢ → 64¢ · $5,644−$53Yes · avg 70¢ → 69¢ · $4,095
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 1.7 wins, so it did +7.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.
Price-adjusted edge
+7.0 pts
Called / graded
2/4
Expected from price
1.7
Flagged volume
$385.4k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±19.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$295.8k
Last 30 days −$5,780 · $8.09M volume · 11,334 trades · since Aug 27, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$646.7k
Open P&L · 206 positions
−$247.7k
Closed-position win rate
74%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
424d
696 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | +50.0 pts |
| Other | 3 | 1 | 1.2 | -7.4 pts |
History
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