{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x3738ad9665480991affe3ba286cd035516e17d1f8b7703e05088ec19c70c21a4","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7594f524cba06ac049ae58652ad01fbe2efa1dbd965e3d3f9c43b6c60e811965:0","id":"trade:0x7594f524cba06ac049ae58652ad01fbe2efa1dbd965e3d3f9c43b6c60e811965:0","implied":0.6896868376,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.6896868376,"result":null,"side":"BUY","status":"pending","t":1792619114,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?","usd":14142.918301008505,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766"},{"condition_id":"0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xdb55eed063c230f90c339e49a41c7c112a570697083e9c369f6f294abbf7bc7f:0","id":"trade:0xdb55eed063c230f90c339e49a41c7c112a570697083e9c369f6f294abbf7bc7f:0","implied":0.5,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.5,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1788120327,"title":"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":13312.385,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766"},{"condition_id":"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x1fd051f2cc02a7727a4489d790ccfd7567d5ab5ebf01bf6542fc47a859351d2d:0","id":"trade:0x1fd051f2cc02a7727a4489d790ccfd7567d5ab5ebf01bf6542fc47a859351d2d:0","implied":0.38,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.62,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1786303108,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":29884.6882,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766"},{"condition_id":"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xcd38dc8cce8cf1178ad522fa65efb68a8af08d5ab22bfc96ae1d63d83baf68f7:0","id":"trade:0xcd38dc8cce8cf1178ad522fa65efb68a8af08d5ab22bfc96ae1d63d83baf68f7:0","implied":0.41,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.41,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1785693497,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":19762.4551,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766"},{"condition_id":"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa0bde0505524f8955c84f3fd506be1bfda5053332932e30ecd7ed69683c3115c:1","id":"trade:0xa0bde0505524f8955c84f3fd506be1bfda5053332932e30ecd7ed69683c3115c:1","implied":0.912,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.912,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1782483591,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","usd":11607.32496,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766"},{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x5bca803925cdc291725cb4eae81e43494d849094ac4a425a4dc56a09e15c23e6:0","id":"trade:0x5bca803925cdc291725cb4eae81e43494d849094ac4a425a4dc56a09e15c23e6:0","implied":0.04097552379999991,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9590244762000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1781550913,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":137225.01892368752,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766"},{"condition_id":"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xec3e9cefdb83ec74d962c8b7d9e2e9df3067084b828b13b1648f7ea18e61e887:0","id":"trade:0xec3e9cefdb83ec74d962c8b7d9e2e9df3067084b828b13b1648f7ea18e61e887:0","implied":0.06000000000000005,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.94,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1781478376,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","usd":10218.1384,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766"},{"condition_id":"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x24c870b78188b93029a84caddf0f0f5dc6dd58196412a7479d30b6ce86b3f96f:1","id":"trade:0x24c870b78188b93029a84caddf0f0f5dc6dd58196412a7479d30b6ce86b3f96f:1","implied":0.0010000000000000009,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1780340571,"title":"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","usd":30428.590949999998,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766"},{"condition_id":"0x5341e90b72330a8eb96cb685dcffe51ad41783cc12e91b6858b9bd996b3d5b63","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x16ff462f3919956d6aff02fcbee054e565756c59525cec203de86c4f74b005f1:1","id":"trade:0x16ff462f3919956d6aff02fcbee054e565756c59525cec203de86c4f74b005f1:1","implied":0.0030000000000001137,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9969999999999999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1778865768,"title":"Will Trump say \"Strait\" or \"Hormuz\" during events with Xi Jinping?","usd":10578.51895,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766"},{"condition_id":"0xaa145cf5714455f546afe53037b8712df749ba96c04820c2d41f37f877f29697","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8cf822ebbb9078c41fd780a269ea1e5229722b9c1e07ad8c3fb820d1aa1bca33:1","id":"trade:0x8cf822ebbb9078c41fd780a269ea1e5229722b9c1e07ad8c3fb820d1aa1bca33:1","implied":0.0030000000000000027,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.997,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1778865712,"title":"Will Trump say \"Iran\" during events with Xi Jinping?","usd":14456.75922,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766"},{"condition_id":"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x0a2cc5251529400f007e04c12d5ea6ed5c262b7d3df7c1249028f1ff4a534429:1","id":"trade:0x0a2cc5251529400f007e04c12d5ea6ed5c262b7d3df7c1249028f1ff4a534429:1","implied":0.09999999999999998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1775998679,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","usd":19999.8,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766"},{"condition_id":"0x4b78de44ea49d0eb8d5fee85352294b6f679a47c56944c6ad5c945e9a2ba7211","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa4c4639fa1edf64f82d6a8d1972d85abd3c659cbe674ba52c3cc508595df263f:0","id":"trade:0xa4c4639fa1edf64f82d6a8d1972d85abd3c659cbe674ba52c3cc508595df263f:0","implied":0.488715742,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.511284258,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1770960993,"title":"Government shutdown on Saturday?","usd":30755.967092379717,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766"},{"condition_id":"0x4b78de44ea49d0eb8d5fee85352294b6f679a47c56944c6ad5c945e9a2ba7211","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7f8519c4465e3d4b2f858305af83cfd72eb93bbee947b4758dec27b271d3f67f:0","id":"trade:0x7f8519c4465e3d4b2f858305af83cfd72eb93bbee947b4758dec27b271d3f67f:0","implied":0.9680108139,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9680108139,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1770935427,"title":"Government shutdown on Saturday?","usd":31203.34458065955,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766"},{"condition_id":"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x230c132b443f6a9e07facb278b52f2b527f024691a3952ce841ee07017f39751:1","id":"trade:0x230c132b443f6a9e07facb278b52f2b527f024691a3952ce841ee07017f39751:1","implied":0.20999999999999996,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.79,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1768316277,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","usd":11849.9289,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766"}],"record":{"called":2,"edge":0.0695,"exp_rate":0.4305,"expected":1.722,"hit":0.5,"n":4,"se":0.19140206372973095},"wallet":"0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766"}