← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.6k
SELL No @ 99.7¢ · 10,610 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet eightpenguins took No (sell) for $10.6k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.7¢
- Implied odds
- 0.3%
- Size
- $10.6k
- Placed
- May 15, 13:22 EDT
- Market close
- May 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- eightpenguins
- Tx
- 0x16ff462f…
This wallet's graded record
2/4+7.0 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $36.7k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $38.0k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $166.6k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $66.6k | excluded |