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+$83.2kNo · avg 50¢ → 87¢ · $194.6k−$83.2kYes · avg 50¢ → 13¢ · $28.2k−$1,172Yes · avg 76¢ → 1.4¢ · $22
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 4 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 3.6 wins, so it did +9.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+9.2 pts
Called / graded
4/4
Expected from price
3.6
Flagged volume
$1.21M
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±14.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$463.5k
Last 30 days −$1,009 · $48.26M volume · 57,968 trades · since Nov 07, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$2.41M
Open P&L · 9 positions
−$20.2k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
716d
2364 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 2 | 2 | 1.9 | +4.8 pts |
| Other | 2 | 2 | 1.7 | +13.6 pts |
History
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