← Wallets
+$2,258Yes · avg 82¢ → 91.5¢ · $22.0k+$714Yes · avg 82¢ → 97¢ · $4,607−$45Yes · avg 66¢ → 65¢ · $2,925−$1,258Yes · avg 16¢ → 10¢ · $2,400+$253No · avg 83¢ → 95.7¢ · $1,913+$190No · avg 72¢ → 82¢ · $1,630−$1,347Yes · avg 36¢ → 17¢ · $1,172+$378No · avg 61¢ → 93.5¢ · $1,101
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did -1.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-1.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$241.9k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±16.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$25.5k
Last 30 days −$496 · $3.13M volume · 4,499 trades · since Sep 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$41.3k
Open P&L · 25 positions
−$18.8k
Closed-position win rate
85%
213 closed
Wallet age · markets
398d
227 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +4.0 pts |
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -7.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $52.8k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $115.1k 7.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $11.0k | called |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $16.5k | called |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | LOW SELL No @ 93¢ | $16.1k | missed |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x00090e8b4fa8f88dc9c1740e460dd0f670021d43"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x00090e8b4fa8f88dc9c1740e460dd0f670021d43.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x00090e…