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Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

OpenResolves Nov 3?Alert me on this market
Flags
2
Net whale flow → Yes
+$33.7k
Yes 7d ago → now
96.8¢→97.4¢
Category
Politics

Yes price

Drag to scrub · tap a dot for the trade · ● called ● missed ● open ● excluded · times ET · what these mean
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Biggest holders right now

Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.

Yes 97.5¢no rated wallets
  1. elmcap2$116.0k
  2. sherrone-more$48.8k
  3. Seutervoinen$38.4k
  4. wan123$35.0k
  5. AngryRhino$33.8k
  6. thoodr$33.6k
  7. SAPolitcsSeer$25.7k
  8. chriszyy3$21.7k
  9. Kickstand7$20.0k
  10. studmuffin6969$17.4k
  11. BuddhaYTorrance$16.8k
  12. JPLP$16.6k
No 2.5¢no rated wallets
  1. 0xa5ef…2966$11.6k
  2. 0x41b4…dad2$4,263
  3. Ferwhere$2,234
  4. 0xa0f2…1848$202
  5. Juggz69$164
  6. 0x2578…b2a6$144
  7. theNTM$89
  8. cigarettes$81
  9. Albedo00$77
  10. c231dw1$55
  11. simmobets$50
  12. predictgeek$48

Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
Yes$52.6k
1 flag
 none none
Not Yes$18.8k
1 flag
 none none

No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days
California Governor Race 2026: Becerra vs. HiltonMultiState · Google News · 1h agoAnthropic tells California governor courts should be able to block risky AI modelsReuters · Google News · 14h agoYour last-minute guide to California governor candidates’ views on gas prices, EVs and high-speed railLos Angeles Times · Google News · 23h agoCalifornia Governor Election Preview: Xavier Becerra vs. Steve HiltonJewish Journal · Google News · 1d ago

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
LOW BUY Yes @ 97.2¢ $52.6k97% elmcap213h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
LOW SELL Yes @ 96.5¢ $18.8k4% 0xeb6f…25f016h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?OpenResolves Nov 3
BUY Yes @ 97.2¢$52.6k
LOW elmcap2 · 13h ago
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?OpenResolves Nov 3
SELL Yes @ 96.5¢$18.8k
LOW 0xeb6f…25f0 · 16h ago

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 2 whale trades on this market totalling $71.4k from 2 wallets. The largest was $52.6k (buy Yes at 97.2¢). Most whale money ($52.6k) went to Yes. The market has not resolved yet, so no flags here are graded. The biggest whale here, elmcap2 ($52.6k), has called 1 of 1 graded flags overall (+3.1 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (will-xavier-becerra-win-the-california-governor-election-in-2026).