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What this means. A wallet put $18.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 4% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?OpenResolves Nov 3
$18.8k
SELL Yes @ 96.5¢ · 19,522 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet 456ythgbvcadscvb took Yes (sell) for $18.8k at an average 96.5¢. At that price the market implied a 4% chance for that side. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 96.5¢
- Implied odds
- 3.5%
- Size
- $18.8k
- Placed
- Oct 28, 12:48 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 03, 23:59 EST
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 456ythgbvcadscvb
- Tx
- 0xe4226067…
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Price since this bet
Since entry -0.9 ptsYes price · entry 96.5¢ · now 97.4¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Related news
Same names, last 7 daysCalifornia Governor Race 2026: Becerra vs. HiltonMultiState · Google News · 2h agoAnthropic tells California governor courts should be able to block risky AI modelsReuters · Google News · 15h agoYour last-minute guide to California governor candidates’ views on gas prices, EVs and high-speed railLos Angeles Times · Google News · 1d agoCalifornia Governor Election Preview: Xavier Becerra vs. Steve HiltonJewish Journal · Google News · 1d ago
Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 97.2¢ | $52.6k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |