← Wallets
+$110.6kNo · avg 50¢ → 79¢ · $298.4k−$110.6kYes · avg 50¢ → 21¢ · $77.2k+$12.7kYes · avg 35¢ → 97¢ · $19.9k+$104Yes · avg 29¢ → 30¢ · $6,145+$425No · avg 48¢ → 80¢ · $1,045+$36No · avg 50¢ → 56¢ · $345−$36Yes · avg 50¢ → 44¢ · $274+$4No · avg 80¢ → 97.2¢ · $22
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 1.9 wins, so it did +1.7 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+1.7 pts
Called / graded
2/4
Expected from price
1.9
Flagged volume
$2.04M
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±18.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1.49M
Last 30 days −$1,935 · $68.93M volume · 33,789 trades · since Oct 28, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 450 closed
+$2.86M
Open P&L · 66 positions
−$78.4k
Closed-position win rate
100%
450 closed
Wallet age · markets
1445d
1323 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +24.4 pts |
| Politics | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -6.5 pts |
| Economy | 2 | 1 | 1.1 | -5.6 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd1acd3…