← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $15.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 22% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.2k
BUY Yes @ 22¢ · 68,128 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet Kickstand7 took Yes (buy) for $15.2k at an average 22¢. At that price the market implied a 22% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 22¢ means
22%chance the market gave
+348American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 22¢
- Implied odds
- 22.3%
- Size
- $15.2k
- Placed
- Dec 16, 08:30 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Kickstand7
- Tx
- 0x42795d37…
This wallet's graded record
2/4+1.7 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $26.4k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $49.8k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $40.2k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $40.4k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $40.3k 3.9× usual |
excluded |