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+$21No · avg 67¢ → 68¢ · $2,828+$8No · avg 92¢ → 92.5¢ · $1,447+$100No · avg 88¢ → 96¢ · $1,201−$43No · avg 63¢ → 60¢ · $1,000+$7No · avg 94.9¢ → 95.8¢ · $821+$36No · avg 87¢ → 91.5¢ · $708+$87No · avg 73¢ → 84¢ · $684+$1No · avg 98.4¢ → 98.6¢ · $605
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did -22.2 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-22.2 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.2
Flagged volume
$1.13M
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±41.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$15.1k
Last 30 days +$1,658 · $5.81M volume · 8,555 trades · since Dec 23, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$273.5k
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$128.4k
Closed-position win rate
93%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
305d
1110 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | -22.2 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x21ff16…