Weekly report card

Week 2026-44

Oct 26, 00:00 EDT – Nov 01, 22:59 EST · markets that resolved this week

Price-adjusted edge

+2.1 pts

Called

95/145

Expected from price

91.9

Std. error

±3.6

In week 2026-44, 145 graded flags resolved. The flagged side won 95 times; entry prices implied 91.9. Whales beat the price by +2.1 pts. One week is a small sample.

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	114	68	66.0	+1.7 pts
Economy	28	24	23.1	+3.1 pts
Other	3	3	2.7	+9.1 pts

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Rockets vs. Bucks	MED BUY Rockets @ 77¢	$99.8k 2.9× usual	77%	jakepaulthegoat2008	18h ago	Called
Lakers vs. Clippers	LOW BUY Clippers @ 50¢	$97.6k	50%	BreakTheBank	14h ago	Missed
Nuggets vs. Pelicans	MED BUY Pelicans @ 38¢	$85.8k 2.5× usual	38%	jakepaulthegoat2008	17h ago	Missed
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 96.9¢	$84.9k 2.1× usual	97%	elmcap2	17h ago	Called
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)	LOW BUY Pacers @ 48¢	$81.5k 4.8× usual	48%	0x2c33…0563	18h ago	Called
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	LOW BUY FUT Esports @ 70¢	$74.9k 2.2× usual	70%	yabanci	6h ago	Missed
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 96.6¢	$69.7k	97%	timetowander	17h ago	Called
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢	$69.3k	72%	thegreatjeff	21h ago	Called
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	HIGH BUY Nemiga @ 31¢	$65.1k	31%	Mooseborzoiii NEW	5h ago	Called
Lakers vs. Clippers	LOW BUY Lakers @ 50¢	$57.3k 2.1× usual	50%	NS13	10h ago	Called
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	LOW BUY Yes @ 90.9¢	$56.4k	91%	0F62	12h ago	Called
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	MED SELL Yes @ 94.8¢	$55.1k	5%	allen111	22h ago	Missed
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	LOW BUY FUT Esports @ 69¢	$54.0k 3.5× usual	69%	norrisfan	5h ago	Missed
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	MED BUY Yes @ 73¢	$50.7k	73%	stuttig NEW	1d ago	Called
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 95.4¢	$49.9k 2.3× usual	95%	zb8	18h ago	Called
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 95.3¢	$49.1k	95%	timetowander	21h ago	Called
Devils vs. Avalanche	LOW BUY Avalanche @ 57¢	$48.9k	57%	keeptheblueflagflyinghig	16h ago	Called
Knicks vs. Bulls	MED BUY Knicks @ 73¢	$45.4k	73%	jakepaulthegoat2008	17h ago	Called
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)	LOW BUY Raptors @ 52¢	$45.0k	52%	0xb4f9…c9a7	16h ago	Called
Nuggets vs. Pelicans	MED BUY Nuggets @ 64¢	$44.8k	64%	hewhodoesit NEW	18h ago	Called
Warriors vs. Timberwolves	LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 61¢	$44.2k	61%	jakepaulthegoat2008	17h ago	Missed
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 96.4¢	$42.2k	96%	thegreengem	17h ago	Called
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	MED BUY Yes @ 54¢	$41.1k	54%	RichieRicher	20h ago	Missed
Spread: Jacksonville State (-3.5)	LOW BUY New Mexico State @ 54¢	$40.7k	54%	Kch-Temp	21h ago	Missed
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOW BUY Invictus Gaming @ 67¢	$40.0k	67%	salgnklasf	18h ago	Called
Rockets vs. Bucks	MED BUY Rockets @ 76¢	$39.8k	76%	jakepaulthegoat2008	20h ago	Called
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 95¢	$36.6k 2.9× usual	95%	purplegatto	22h ago	Called
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	MED BUY Thunder @ 50¢	$36.4k 2.8× usual	50%	mooseborzoii	12h ago	Missed
Magic vs. Raptors	LOW BUY Magic @ 38¢	$36.4k	38%	jakepaulthegoat2008	17h ago	Missed
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)	LOW BUY Pacers @ 50¢	$34.6k 2.0× usual	50%	0x2c33…0563	14h ago	Called
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	LOW BUY Yes @ 90.9¢	$33.0k	91%	su281	12h ago	Called
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	MED BUY Clippers @ 48¢	$31.4k	48%	ropetard	15h ago	Missed
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	LOW BUY FUT Esports @ 69¢	$31.0k	69%	Wiretransferxyz	5h ago	Missed
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	LOW BUY Spirit @ 71¢	$29.4k	71%	mbmbbbmbv	20h ago	Missed
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	MED SELL Yes @ 94.7¢	$28.7k 2.2× usual	5%	0x9e3e…f882	23h ago	Missed
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 95.5¢	$28.6k	95%	tourists	18h ago	Called
Thunder vs. Mavericks	LOW BUY Thunder @ 66¢	$28.5k	66%	Zzzz87	17h ago	Missed
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢	$27.0k	56%	bbb17367162806	22h ago	Missed
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	MED BUY Manchester City FC @ 32¢	$26.9k	32%	0x2c33…0563	17h ago	Missed
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)	MED BUY Jazz @ 53¢	$26.3k	53%	ArielFilipino	20h ago	Called
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)	MED BUY 76ers @ 54¢	$26.0k	54%	ropetard	17h ago	Missed
Hornets vs. Pistons	LOW BUY Pistons @ 73¢	$25.6k	73%	jakepaulthegoat2008	15h ago	Called
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	LOW BUY Over @ 49¢	$25.0k	49%	BrotherObama	14h ago	Missed
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	LOW BUY Mavericks @ 52¢	$25.0k	52%	0xb4f9…c9a7	11h ago	Called
Knicks vs. Bulls	LOW BUY Knicks @ 72¢	$24.9k	72%	neutralwave23	13h ago	Called
76ers vs. Pacers	LOW BUY 76ers @ 71¢	$23.0k	71%	0xf559…f462	13h ago	Called
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)	LOW BUY Rockets @ 49¢	$22.5k	49%	0xb4f9…c9a7	18h ago	Called
Wizards vs. Cavaliers	LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 77¢	$22.4k	77%	ic4cream	14h ago	Called
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	LOW BUY No @ 44¢	$22.2k	44%	PickAsso	20h ago	Called
Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	LOW BUY Novak Djokovic @ 69¢	$21.6k	69%	ferrariChampions2026	21h ago	Called
Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5	LOW BUY Over @ 53¢	$21.4k	53%	0x6daa…954a	10h ago	Missed
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28?	LOW BUY No @ 46¢	$21.2k	46%	CapetianP33	23h ago	Called
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)	LOW BUY Bucks @ 52¢	$21.0k	52%	monkeymashingkeyboard	21h ago	Missed
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 94.9¢	$20.1k	95%	Tigerofthehood	21h ago	Called
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 95.6¢	$20.0k	96%	mrwhite700	18h ago	Called
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	LOW BUY FUT Esports @ 70¢	$19.9k	70%	0x387f…2095	6h ago	Missed
Thunder vs. Mavericks	LOW BUY Mavericks @ 35¢	$19.9k	35%	jakepaulthegoat2008	18h ago	Called
Lakers vs. Clippers	LOW BUY Lakers @ 62¢	$19.8k	62%	jakepaulthegoat2008	19h ago	Called
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 95¢	$19.5k	5%	UnderperformingForALivin	20h ago	Missed
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 96.4¢	$19.3k	96%	BreadGet	17h ago	Called
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 96.3¢	$19.3k	96%	Malfunction.	17h ago	Called
Warriors vs. Timberwolves	MED BUY Warriors @ 40¢	$19.0k	40%	hewhodoesit NEW	18h ago	Called
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢	$19.0k	72%	0xc1a9…e2db	19h ago	Called
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 94.9¢	$19.0k	5%	themagicofcinema	20h ago	Missed
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 95.5¢	$18.8k	95%	Constantinus	18h ago	Called
Lakers vs. Clippers	LOW BUY Lakers @ 51¢	$18.7k	51%	jakepaulthegoat2008	15h ago	Called
76ers vs. Pacers	LOW BUY Pacers @ 30¢	$17.8k	30%	jakepaulthegoat2008	16h ago	Missed
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)	MED BUY Nemiga @ 59¢	$17.7k	59%	Mooseborzoiii NEW	5h ago	Called
Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	LOW BUY Kraken @ 45¢	$17.6k	45%	Kch-Temp	15h ago	Called
Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Mia Pohankova	LOW BUY Naomi Osaka @ 80¢	$17.2k	80%	tennischamp	8h ago	Missed
76ers vs. Pacers	LOW BUY 76ers @ 70¢	$17.1k	70%	acorp	17h ago	Called
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	LOW BUY Mavericks @ 50¢	$17.1k	50%	BreakTheBank	12h ago	Called
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	LOW BUY Yes @ 90.9¢	$16.9k	91%	0x4a3b…2eb3	13h ago	Called
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢	$16.9k	95%	baba1443	23h ago	Called
Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun	LOW BUY Xinran Sun @ 42¢	$16.8k	42%	Kkunn	6h ago	Called
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?	LOW BUY No @ 94¢	$16.6k	94%	UpTheBlues	20h ago	Called
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 95.3¢	$16.6k	95%	Solmaxi8888.sol	18h ago	Called
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?	LOW BUY No @ 93¢	$16.6k	93%	acorp	18h ago	Called
Heat vs. Hawks	LOW BUY Hawks @ 56¢	$16.2k	56%	32555	20h ago	Missed
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	LOW BUY Under @ 53¢	$16.2k	53%	keeptheblueflagflyinghig	14h ago	Called
Heat vs. Hawks	LOW BUY Hawks @ 56¢	$16.1k	56%	jakepaulthegoat2008	17h ago	Missed
Wizards vs. Cavaliers	LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 76¢	$16.0k	76%	xasdasdas21	17h ago	Called
Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5	LOW BUY Over @ 51¢	$15.9k	51%	0x2c33…0563	19h ago	Missed
Warriors vs. Timberwolves	LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 61¢	$15.7k	61%	jakepaulthegoat2008	15h ago	Missed
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 94.8¢	$15.7k	95%	purplegatto	22h ago	Called
Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5	LOW BUY Under @ 52¢	$15.0k	52%	0xf559…f462	13h ago	Called
Lakers vs. Clippers	LOW BUY Lakers @ 50¢	$15.0k	50%	FeedTheBigBird	10h ago	Called
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino: O/U 5.5	MED BUY Under @ 90.2¢	$15.0k	90%	Adolfjr1488 NEW	21h ago	Called
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)	LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 48¢	$15.0k	48%	ferrariChampions2026	13h ago	Missed
Nuggets vs. Pelicans	MED BUY Nuggets @ 62¢	$15.0k	62%	topdogw NEW	13h ago	Called
Hornets vs. Pistons	LOW BUY Pistons @ 73¢	$14.6k	73%	jakepaulthegoat2008	18h ago	Called
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 96.4¢	$14.5k	96%	BunCaCham	17h ago	Called
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	LOW BUY Brighton & Hove Albion FC @ 64¢	$14.4k	64%	Jsram	18h ago	Called
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	LOW BUY No @ 28¢	$14.4k	28%	CapetianP33	1d ago	Missed
Lakers vs. Clippers	LOW SELL Clippers @ 50¢	$14.0k	50%	Tys0n2	10h ago	Called
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOW BUY Invictus Gaming @ 67¢	$13.9k	67%	lfg100k	15h ago	Called
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	LOW BUY Nemiga @ 30¢	$13.7k	30%	jakepaulthegoat2008	7h ago	Called
Heat vs. Hawks	LOW BUY Heat @ 44¢	$13.6k	44%	monkeymashingkeyboard	20h ago	Called
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 94.9¢	$13.1k	95%	Jjjh77660	22h ago	Called
Heat vs. Hawks	LOW BUY Hawks @ 56¢	$13.1k	56%	jakepaulthegoat2008	18h ago	Missed

Week 2026-44

By category

Best calls (lowest implied odds that won)

Biggest misses

Every graded flag

The graded brief, free