YYYYY999

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 23 of 48. The prices it paid implied about 24.6 wins, so it did -3.4 pts worse than the market expected. That's no clear edge yet (-3.4 pts over 48 bets). Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage−$500Vitality · avg 84¢ → 84¢ · $83.5k LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage+$336G2 Esports · avg 81¢ → 82¢ · $54.7k LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage+$338Karmine Corp · avg 54¢ → 55¢ · $36.8k LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage+$389Movistar KOI · avg 68¢ → 68¢ · $31.8k LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage+$233Gen.G · avg 57¢ → 57¢ · $26.7k Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage+$108MOUZ · avg 85¢ → 86¢ · $18.4k LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage+$98Top Esports · avg 36¢ → 36¢ · $7,114 LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage+$19Bilibili Gaming · avg 75¢ → 76¢ · $2,852

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

None of its 6 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.

Price-adjusted edge

-3.4 pts

Called / graded

23/48

Expected from price

24.6

Flagged volume

$6.06M

Sample size48 graded

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±6.8 pts std. error.

Graded P&L at their stakes

−$251k

48 graded bets in the order they resolved · 23 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.

Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.

Without their best bet

Leave out the single bet that helped most (LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group St at 19¢) and the edge is -5.2 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.

Calibration: won vs price paid

0–20¢

50% vs 18% · n=2

20–40¢

45% vs 33% · n=11

40–60¢

38% vs 51% · n=21

60–80¢

75% vs 68% · n=12

80–100¢

0% vs 82% · n=2

Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$2.54M

Last 30 days −$572.6k · $202.59M volume · 452,847 trades · since Nov 23, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	LOW BUY MOUZ @ 85¢	$18.3k	85%	15m ago	pending
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	LOW BUY Vitality @ 84¢	$84.0k 2.5× usual	84%	15m ago	pending
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LOW BUY Gen.G @ 57¢	$26.4k	57%	29m ago	pending
LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LOW BUY G2 Esports @ 81¢	$53.6k	81%	30m ago	pending
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LOW BUY Movistar KOI @ 68¢	$31.4k	68%	31m ago	pending
LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LOW BUY Karmine Corp @ 54¢	$36.0k	54%	33m ago	pending
Mavericks vs. Pacers	MED BUY Mavericks @ 31¢	$39.9k	31%	11h ago	called
Timberwolves vs. Magic	LOW BUY Magic @ 52¢	$10.4k	52%	11h ago	missed
Bulls vs. Bucks	LOW BUY Bucks @ 53¢	$15.9k	53%	12h ago	excluded
LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	MED BUY Team Liquid @ 73¢	$55.4k	73%	14h ago	missed
Timberwolves vs. Magic	LOW BUY Magic @ 51¢	$20.8k	51%	15h ago	missed
Knicks vs. Celtics	LOW BUY Celtics @ 56¢	$13.1k	56%	18h ago	called
Bulls vs. Bucks	LOW BUY Bucks @ 52¢	$33.7k	52%	18h ago	missed
Grizzlies vs. Warriors	LOW BUY Warriors @ 58¢	$19.6k	58%	18h ago	missed
Pistons vs. Heat	LOW BUY Pistons @ 52¢	$61.8k	52%	18h ago	called
Timberwolves vs. Magic	LOW BUY Magic @ 47¢	$14.9k	47%	18h ago	missed
Raptors vs. Wizards	MED BUY Raptors @ 74¢	$38.9k	74%	18h ago	called
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LOW BUY Karmine Corp @ 35¢	$22.3k	35%	22h ago	called
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LOW BUY Top Esports @ 23¢	$14.8k	23%	22h ago	missed
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LOW BUY Movistar KOI @ 19¢	$14.0k	19%	23h ago	called
Cavaliers vs. 76ers	LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 44¢	$13.2k	44%	1d ago	missed
Cavaliers vs. 76ers	LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 44¢	$17.3k	44%	1d ago	missed
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Metizport (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	LOW BUY Metizport @ 47¢	$30.1k	47%	1d ago	missed
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	LOW BUY Sinners @ 54¢	$34.2k	54%	1d ago	called
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	LOW BUY FaZe @ 57¢	$57.0k	57%	1d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: BIG vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	LOW BUY TheMongolz @ 52¢	$30.5k	52%	1d ago	excluded
Suns vs. Trail Blazers	MED BUY Trail Blazers @ 58¢	$53.7k	58%	2d ago	called
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LOW BUY Karmine Corp @ 34¢	$13.6k	34%	2d ago	called
Mavericks vs. Rockets	LOW BUY Rockets @ 79¢	$62.7k	79%	2d ago	called
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	LOW BUY TheMongolz @ 66¢	$32.2k	66%	2d ago	excluded
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LOW BUY Dplus KIA @ 61¢	$27.4k	61%	2d ago	called
Hawks vs. Magic	LOW BUY Magic @ 55¢	$27.5k	55%	2d ago	missed
Pacers vs. Pelicans	LOW BUY Pelicans @ 42¢	$19.9k	42%	2d ago	missed
Bucks vs. Wizards	LOW BUY Bucks @ 38¢	$17.7k	38%	2d ago	missed
Hornets vs. Nets	LOW BUY Hornets @ 52¢	$23.9k	52%	2d ago	called
76ers vs. Knicks	LOW BUY Knicks @ 62¢	$39.0k	62%	3d ago	missed
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	MED BUY Cloud9 @ 92¢	$213.0k 6.3× usual	92%	7d ago	excluded
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)	LOW BUY Cloud9 @ 41¢	$71.0k 2.1× usual	41%	7d ago	excluded
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)	MED BUY Cloud9 @ 40¢	$72.8k 2.2× usual	40%	7d ago	missed
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	HIGH BUY Cloud9 @ 83¢	$420.6k 12.5× usual	83%	7d ago	missed
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	LOW BUY Cloud9 @ 82¢	$28.5k	82%	7d ago	missed
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	LOW BUY Karmine Corp @ 57¢	$13.6k	57%	8d ago	excluded
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	LOW BUY Karmine Corp @ 63¢	$76.1k 2.3× usual	63%	8d ago	excluded
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	LOW BUY Karmine Corp @ 68¢	$19.7k	68%	8d ago	called
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	MED BUY HANJIN BRION @ 36¢	$33.4k	36%	8d ago	excluded
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	LOW BUY HANJIN BRION @ 55¢	$18.4k	55%	9d ago	missed
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	LOW BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 39¢	$52.1k	39%	9d ago	called
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	LOW BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 61¢	$91.8k 2.7× usual	61%	11d ago	excluded
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	LOW BUY JD Gaming @ 33¢	$20.2k	33%	12d ago	missed
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	LOW BUY BNK FEARX @ 68¢	$51.5k	68%	12d ago	called
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	LOW BUY G2 Esports @ 53¢	$11.1k	53%	14d ago	missed
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	MED BUY Team Falcons @ 58¢	$274.5k 8.1× usual	58%	17d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	LOW BUY Natus Vincere @ 47¢	$16.0k	47%	20d ago	called
Valorant: Global Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B	MED BUY Global Esports @ 72¢	$152.9k 4.5× usual	72%	21d ago	excluded
Valorant: TYLOO vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C	LOW BUY Team Liquid @ 79¢	$35.5k	79%	23d ago	called
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	MED BUY Yes @ 58¢	$184.8k 5.5× usual	58%	29d ago	called
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	LOW BUY Shopify Rebellion @ 36¢	$23.0k	36%	35d ago	excluded
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner	MED BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 55¢	$41.0k	55%	41d ago	excluded
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs	LOW BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 65¢	$21.6k	65%	52d ago	called
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs	LOW BUY BoomBoys @ 37¢	$32.1k	37%	62d ago	missed
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs	LOW BUY Iron Wing @ 42¢	$48.3k	42%	64d ago	missed
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	LOW BUY FURIA @ 55¢	$88.4k 2.6× usual	55%	64d ago	called
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round	MED BUY Team Yandex @ 70¢	$71.0k 2.1× usual	70%	68d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D	LOW SELL TheMongolz @ 99.9¢	$93.8k 2.8× usual	0%	72d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D	LOW BUY TheMongolz @ 40¢	$41.2k	40%	72d ago	excluded
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	LOW BUY KT Rolster @ 36¢	$16.5k	36%	72d ago	excluded
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	LOW BUY T1 @ 47¢	$17.3k	47%	76d ago	excluded
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	LOW BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 37¢	$14.9k	37%	77d ago	excluded
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	LOW SELL ThunderTalk Gaming @ 99.9¢	$34.9k	0%	77d ago	excluded
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	LOW BUY ThunderTalk Gaming @ 60¢	$37.3k	60%	77d ago	excluded
Knicks vs. Spurs	LOW BUY Spurs @ 65¢	$18.2k	65%	132d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	MED BUY Spurs @ 64¢	$189.6k 5.6× usual	64%	166d ago	missed
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	LOW BUY Spurs @ 64¢	$60.3k	64%	168d ago	excluded
76ers vs. Knicks	MED BUY Knicks @ 72¢	$123.1k 3.7× usual	72%	170d ago	called
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	MED BUY Timberwolves @ 21¢	$32.4k	21%	172d ago	excluded
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 72¢	$26.5k	72%	173d ago	excluded
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	LOW BUY 76ers @ 53¢	$28.1k	53%	174d ago	excluded
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	MED BUY 76ers @ 49¢	$141.6k 4.2× usual	49%	174d ago	excluded
Lakers vs. Rockets	HIGH BUY Lakers @ 94.9¢	$344.7k 10.2× usual	95%	175d ago	excluded
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	MED BUY Nuggets @ 70¢	$350.3k 10.4× usual	70%	176d ago	excluded
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	MED BUY Timberwolves @ 18¢	$28.5k	18%	179d ago	missed
Celtics vs. 76ers	HIGH BUY 76ers @ 32¢	$173.1k 5.1× usual	32%	180d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	HIGH BUY Trail Blazers @ 77¢	$347.9k 10.3× usual	77%	180d ago	excluded
Lakers vs. Rockets	MED BUY Lakers @ 42¢	$155.9k 4.6× usual	42%	180d ago	missed
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	LOW BUY Spurs @ 67¢	$37.2k	67%	180d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	MED BUY Trail Blazers @ 36¢	$40.7k	36%	180d ago	excluded
Lakers vs. Rockets	MED BUY Rockets @ 62¢	$74.7k 2.2× usual	62%	180d ago	called
Celtics vs. 76ers	MED BUY 76ers @ 28¢	$82.3k 2.4× usual	28%	180d ago	missed
Celtics vs. 76ers	LOW BUY 76ers @ 27¢	$12.7k	27%	181d ago	missed
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	MED BUY Timberwolves @ 89¢	$40.8k	89%	181d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	LOW BUY Spurs @ 60¢	$30.6k	60%	182d ago	called
Lakers vs. Rockets	MED BUY Lakers @ 36¢	$113.7k 3.4× usual	36%	182d ago	called
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)	LOW BUY Jazz @ 53¢	$17.8k	53%	228d ago	excluded
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?	LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢	$11.0k	64%	237d ago	called
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs	LOW SELL LYON @ 99.9¢	$11.0k	0%	238d ago	excluded

YYYYY999

Current positions

Open bets: who else is there

Graded P&L at their stakes

Polymarket profile

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