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What this means. A wallet put $27.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 56% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$27.0k
BUY Yes @ 56¢ · 48,175 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 0x0c78…77f1 took Yes (buy) for $27.0k at an average 56¢. At that price the market implied a 56% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $27.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 56¢ means
56%chance the market gave
−127American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 56¢
- Implied odds
- 56.0%
- As American odds
- −127 no vig
- Size
- $27.0k
- Placed
- Oct 28, 08:34 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 28, 13:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x0c78…77f1
- Tx
- 0xb49c420a…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-56.0 pts
expected 0.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -56 ptsYes price · entry 56¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
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Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Yes @ 16¢ | $11.3k | Excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $20.0k | Excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 44¢ | $22.2k | Called |