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What this means. A wallet put $27.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 56% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?Missed
$27.0k
BUY Yes @ 56¢ · 48,175 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet 0x0c78…77f1 took Yes (buy) for $27.0k at an average 56¢. At that price the market implied a 56% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $27.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 56¢ means
56%chance the market gave
−127American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
56¢
Implied odds
56.0%
As American odds
−127 no vig
Size
$27.0k
Placed
Oct 28, 08:34 EDT
Market close
Oct 28, 13:30 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x0c78…77f1
Tx
0xb49c420a…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-56.0 pts
expected 0.6 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -56 pts
Yes price · entry 56¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 56¢ · $27.0k WHALE $27.0K @ 56¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?LOW BUY Yes @ 16¢ $11.3k16% 0xa2a7…627b15h agoExcluded
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?MED BUY Yes @ 78¢ $20.0k78% wollao NEW16h agoExcluded
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?LOW BUY No @ 44¢ $22.2k44% 0x9a93…279318h agoCalled