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+$1,318No · avg 40¢ → 40¢ · $105.4k+$1,105Club Atlético de Madrid · avg 17¢ → 18¢ · $37.1k+$374Yes · avg 12¢ → 12¢ · $9,296−$314Yes · avg 31¢ → 12¢ · $186
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -40.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.
Price-adjusted edge
-40.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$291.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$390.0k
Last 30 days −$346.2k · $5.69M volume · 835 trades · since Oct 13, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$322.2k
Open P&L · 31 positions
−$677.8k
Closed-position win rate
100%
4 closed
Wallet age · markets
11d
36 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -40.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24? | MED BUY No @ 40¢ | $92.0k | pending |
 Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-21? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $67.4k | excluded |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-21? | HIGH BUY No @ 45¢ | $85.1k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | MED BUY No @ 40¢ | $25.0k | missed |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13? | MED BUY No @ 20¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9a933a…